Why the independent voters may decide the new governor - KMSP-TV

Why the independent voters may decide the new governor

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LANSING, Mich. (WJBK) - The I's have it.

Here we go with the popular wisdom schtick again. It says that independent voters hold the key to the outcome in the race for governor.

If you can prove that theory wrong, jump in at any time.

There is some reasoning behind this.

EPIC-MRA pollster Bernie Porn reports that 88 percent of the GOP vote is already locked in with incumbent Gov. Rick Snyder. Democratic challenger Mark Schauer has already nailed down 81 percent of the D vote and is confident he can  bump that number even higher.

That means that, months before the voting, a vast majority of R's and D's have already decided. Lucky them. They get to ignore the barrage of TV ads the two sides are loading up for the run to the governor's chair.

Mr. Porn figures, and he's done this a lot, "if Schauer can solidify his vote among the D's and get to 88 or 90 percent, he will likely lead and (get this all you popular wisdom naysayers) then the I's will determine who wins."

If that's true where are the I's who tend to be a tad more reflective and patient? The governor got 38 percent in the last survey. Mr. Schauer laid claim to 31 percent and the rest, 31 percent are not there yet.

And in what could be an ironic twist, the governor could pick up some of that 31 percent thanks to the TEA Party.

Insert question here, What the heck is he smoking?

The theory goes, the more the TEA Party complains about the governor's more moderate policies, he may lose some TEA party votes but the I's may think, "Well if he is doing something the TEA Party can't stand, then, geez, maybe the governor is doing something right."

It's sort of a reverse political jujitsu but if correct there are way more independent votes around the state than the T.P. folks and depending on which way they go, the outcome clearly becomes a matter of the I's having it and the TEA Party not so much.
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