It is no secret that temperatures have been well below average the last few months and precipitation overall has been above average… especially in April with one of the wettest on record.
Unfortunately, there are many signs that this pattern isn’t going to change in the near future.
Most of the computer forecasting models indicate brief periods of warming followed by large troughs that fill the Upper Midwest with extended periods of cool wet weather.
The Climate Prediction Center is seeing the same set up.
They released their monthly outlook for May and it indicates exactly what I just talked about, better than average chances for below normal temperatures and above normal precipitation.
Check them out below…
In the even more near term… the next couple of weeks show strong signs of below normal temperatures and above normal precipitation.
Here is their forecast for temperatures and precipitation in the 6 to 10 day timeframe (May 6-10)… remembering that these are probability forecasts and not showing how much above or below average they will be, but the probability of getting above or below average temperatures/precipitation…
A little bit of a change from the last several weeks is that a trough will be in the north and west versus the south and east… this allows much of the eastern U.S. to warm above average.
But with the jet stream continuing to dive through our area, above normal precipitation along with sub average temperatures are expected for at least part of the Upper Midwest, including Minnesota.
A similar situation also appears probable for the 8 to 14 day period (May 8-14) as well…