What a brutally cold February it has been… temperatures sitting below average almost every single day, and it's now the 10th snowiest February on record. For those that are looking forward to spring, I have little hope for you at the moment. Our tremendously cold and occasionally snowy pattern looks to continue for the for seeable future. The short AND long range models continue to indicate a large trough in the east and ridge in the west leading to colder than average conditions from the continental divide eastward. In fact, it has been the coldest 12 month period for the city of Kansas City in history!
The forecasts look pretty bleak. Here is a look at the forecast from the Climate Prediction Center that shows the probability for below, average, or above average temperatures from February 27 through March 3, and then again from March 3 through March 10.
You can see that there is a very very good chance for sub average temperatures in our region to round out February and start March, but still better than equal chances for the sub average weather to keep going through the 10th of March.
So does it stop there?? Well, if the long range forecast holds true…. Nope! Forecast computer models paint a very similar picture for the rest of March as well. The following to images show temperature anomalies across North America… basically shows where temperatures are above and below normal. The below average spots are in green and blue and the above average spots are in orange and red.
The Upper Midwest and Great Lakes hover in the below average category right through the end of these forecasts which is March 21st… about a month away. So, don't get your hopes up for an early spring because it looks like winter will try to hang on as long as it can.