How Our Next Thunderstorm Could Become A Hurricane - KMSP-TV

How Our Next Thunderstorm Could Become A Hurricane

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© FrazierFox9 © FrazierFox9

Although we have turned the pages of the calendar to a new month, severe weather season is not yet done. That is especially true in the topics, where hurricane season is just getting ramped up. Running from June until November, hurricane season seems to be a time of feast or famine.

So far for 2013 there hasn't been too much action. Andrea, Barry, Chantal and Dorian were the first storms to make their mark. Usually hurricane season does not even get started in the Gulf of Mexico until right about now. A pattern setting up for the first week of this month will lend a helping hand for possible storm development. We usually watch the western coast of Africa for disturbances to form and move westward towards the Caribbean and Gulf of Mexico. It all has to come together just right, or these hurricane hopefuls fall apart faster than a cheap paper towel. Now, we see some favorable conditions setting up in the Gulf for tropical development and the seed for that development could originate in our neck of the woods.

Several complexes of thunderstorms are forecast to develop across the Great Plains this weekend. The current weather pattern is for a large area of high pressure to sit over the mid-south, directing these storms east then southeast, then due south towards the Gulf of Mexico. Once in the Gulf, these storms could form a circulation, and that circulation could form a tropical system. Sure, if formed, that tropical system has to grow and strengthen to earn a name, but it is possible. Clusters of thunderstorms over warm water can develop a circulation that can lead to a tropical system. Usually these storms start off the coast of Africa, but they could originate in the Mid West this weekend.

So picture this, a cluster of storms forms in Nebraska and South Dakota and moves around the high. These storms stay together and make it through Georgia and the Carolinas and then into Florida. These storms have already traveled over a thousand miles and they still could have life left in them. They then catch a ride on a light westerly flow that will take them over the Gulf. Now they are on the road to possible growth, if all elements come together. This scenario may be stretched out like a rubber band around a Sunday newspaper, but it is possible. Stay tuned. One added note, here is the list of the names for Atlantic based storms for 2013. Frazier

2013 ATLANTIC NAMED STORMS AND PRONUNCIATIONS

Andrea AN-dree-uh

Barry BAIR-ree

Chantal shahn-TAHL

Dorian DOR-ee-an

Erin AIR-rin

Fernand fair-NAHN

Gabrielle ga-bree-ELL

Humberto oom-BAIR-toh

Ingrid ING-grid

Jerry JEHR-ee

Karen KAIR-ren

Lorenzo loh-REN-zoh

Melissa meh-LIH-suh

Nestor NES-tor

Olga OAL-guh

Pablo PAHB-lo

Rebekah reh-BEH-kuh

Sebastien suh-BASH-chuhn

Tanya TAHN-yuh

Van van

Wendy WEN-dee

 

 

 

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