Possibility of Obama-Romney electoral-popular vote split - KMSP-TV

Electoral math: Electoral-popular vote split very possible

Posted: Updated:
MINNEAPOLIS (KMSP) -

What if Mitt Romney wins the popular vote, but President Obama wins the electoral vote? And what if the Electoral College is a tie?

Guess what? It's not crazy.

An awful lot has been made of the latest Gallup Tracking Poll, which shows Romney leading the president by seven points nationally.

But what matters is the electoral map, and most people believe President Obama holds the lead because of what's happening in the swing states.

MAKE YOUR PREDICTIONS: http://www.foxnews.com/politics/elections/2012-race-predictions

The latest Wall Street Journal poll, out Friday, shows the president with a comfortable lead in both Wisconsin and Iowa. But there's one other state that could decide everything.

Suddenly Cleveland has cache, Cincinnati is chic -- at least to the presidential candidates who've practically taken up residency in Ohio. The way the electoral map is shaping up, it may all come down to the Buckeye State.

Count FOX News political correspondent Chris Wallace among those who believe we could see a mirror image of 2000, when Al Gore won the popular vote but George Bush won the most electoral votes, and the presidency.

"This raises the possibility that Romney, if the Gallup Poll is right, could win the popular vote like Gore did in 2000, but Obama because of narrow victories in a number of swing states could win the electoral vote and be elected president," Wallace said. "Romney almost has to win Ohio, if he doesn't have to win every other swing state."

The winner needs 270 electoral votes, but what about an electoral tie at 269 a piece?

Don't laugh, it's a real possibility. In fact, there are 32 legitimate scenarios. The most plausible have President Obama losing Ohio, or Wisconsin and Iowa.

The last and only electoral tie was in 1800, when Thomas Jefferson defeated John Adams. Under the Constitution, in the event of an electoral tie, the incoming U.S. House of Representatives would cast the electoral votes for their state -- each state getting one vote based on what their representatives decide.

In that case, all eyes would be on Minnesota, with our congressional delegation evenly split with four Democrats and four Republicans. That scenario, by the way, is just about the only way Minnesota becomes a player in this presidential election.

  • PoliticsMore>>

  • Michele Bachmann: 'No intention' to run for president again

    Michele Bachmann: 'No intention' to run for president again

    Wednesday, July 23 2014 12:25 PM EDT2014-07-23 16:25:17 GMT

    Michele Bachmann says her comments to RealClearPolitics regarding the 2016 presidential race were wrongly interpreted. Bachmann clarified her status in a Facebook post, saying, “At this time I have indicated no intention to once again run for the top spot in 2016.”


    Michele Bachmann says her comments to RealClearPolitics regarding the 2016 presidential race were wrongly interpreted. Bachmann clarified her status in a Facebook post, saying, “At this time I have indicated no intention to once again run for the top spot in 2016.”


  • SEWAGE BACKUP: Damages not covered in Mound

    SEWAGE BACKUP: Damages not covered in Mound

    Monday, July 21 2014 9:53 PM EDT2014-07-22 01:53:38 GMT
    It's been more than a month since sewage started backing up into basements in Mound, Minn., after a string of downpours, but the mess just won't seem to go away for those whose homes were damaged.
    It's been more than a month since sewage started backing up into basements in Mound, Minn., after a string of downpours, but the mess just won't seem to go away for those whose homes were damaged.
  • Hillary Clinton's book-signing brings 2016 buzz to Twin Cities

    Hillary Clinton's book-signing brings 2016 buzz to Twin Cities

    Sunday, July 20 2014 11:21 PM EDT2014-07-21 03:21:02 GMT
    Former First Lady and Secretary of State Hillary Clinton was in St.Paul on Sunday to sign copies of her new book, but for many who came to see her, all they wanted to talk about was 2016 and whether she'll run.
    Former First Lady and Secretary of State Hillary Clinton was in St.Paul on Sunday to sign copies of her new book, but for many who came to see her, all they wanted to talk about was 2016 and whether she'll run.
Powered by WorldNow

KMSP-TV
11358 Viking Drive
Eden Prairie, MN 55344

Phone: (952) 944-9999
Fax: (952) 942-0455

Didn't find what you were looking for?
All content © Copyright 2000 - 2014 Fox Television Stations, Inc. and Worldnow. All Rights Reserved.
Privacy Policy | Terms of Service | Ad Choices